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Today, energy companies are at the forefront of cutting-edge technology, with an onus on supplying energy in the most sustainable way. The diversification of the UK energy supply mix incorporates low-carbon renewable energy sources such as wind, hydro and solar. Today more than 20 percent of energy in the United Kingdom comes from renewable sources. In summer, it’s often closer to 100 percent. Many energy companies have diversified their supply sources to incorporate these low-carbon and sustainable energy sources, but this has led to complications in balancing demand and supply. The Balancing Services Use of System Charge (BSUoS), charged by National Grid to help recoup the costs of balancing the grid from energy production, is a tariff which energy generators are liable to pay. The fee is paid to the system operator in half-hour periods for balancing the supply to meet demand, ensuring providers are generating energy efficiently. But if generation is not tightly monitored, the charge accumulates, severely damaging profitability. Difficulty predicting charges The charge is also difficult to predict. The price is volatile with external factors, such as weather conditions, which reflects the energy mix of the UK. The intermittent power generation and intermittency of weather conditions make calculating predictions complicated. With the ability to predict the charge, generation companies can better respond to the inherent intermittency of renewable energy generation and pricing. Equally, they will learn more about the drivers of the BSUoS charge and how to avoid over or under producing energy. The Elastacloud team were approached by a large UK energy generation company to discover if this could be possible with their data, and so, in a recent project we built the BSUoS Forecast. The solution: the BSUoS Forecast The forecast was built using Microsoft Azure machine learning services. Our Data Scientists used historical BSUoS, demand, and generation data to build the machine learning model for the forecast that generates automated reports for the user. These reports provide a prediction of the BSUoS charge for the customer with significantly greater accuracy than other industry standard models. The service enables energy companies to reduce costs by avoiding generation during the high price periods, and a reduced error risk. The proficiency and accuracy of the model not only provides advanced, industry-leading predictive reports, but makes it understandable and intuitive. As for the wider energy sector, the Forecast is a market-leading data science service, allowing generation companies to more profitably diversify their energy mix through improved optimisation of their own generation profile. Our unparalleled experience using Azure machine learning cloud services, combined with our energy sector expertise has enabled us to provide our clients in the industry with cutting-edge business solutions. The BSUoS forecast is just one example of how we boost our customers’ value through the optimisation of data. Get in touch today to find out more about the BSUoS forecast. The tool is available for energy companies who want to predict their BSUoS charge.

In the last decade or so the Higher Education (HE) sector has become a very competitive environment. Year-on-year, applications come in from across the UK, with institutions fighting to fill their courses with students who they believe have the best chance of succeeding for themselves and for the university. In this increasingly competitive market, attracting and retaining students is a top priority for all HE institutions. The general shift toward a more student (or customer) focused business model by many institutions shows evidence of this and suggests that universities are strategizing how they can best acquire and retain students. Institutions are beginning to recognise the importance of data science practices to enhance their understanding of their students and staff alike. In many cases, the application of data science techniques and platforms to analyse large data sets has proved extremely beneficial. Better quality, more detailed, and wider-spread data allows for better decision making and accurate strategic management of business operations. These capabilities can provide a university with a competitive edge over rivals in acquisition and retainment of their students. A New Challenge Elastacloud's work in the Higher Education (HE) sector aims to bring intelligence to institutions' data, helping to inform decisions and operations. Uniquely, we combine expert data science and machine learning capabilities with a high level of industry knowledge, helping us to provide the best solutions to our customers. Within the last year, a large UK university with a recognised diverse student base consulted Elastacloud, wanting to understand how students from different demographic groupings at their university engaged with the digital practice enhancement applications they had created. They also wanted to measure the students' digital capabilities and find out the extent to which interventions enhanced their skills. The university wanted to understand these key points so they could make informed decisions about how to help improve their students' digital capabilities; for this they needed Learning Analytics. In the context of HE, Learning Analytics (LA) is the measurement, collection, analysis and reporting of data about students for the purposes of understanding and optimising learning and the environments in which it occurs. Universities implement LA for a number of reasons, chiefly to retain students. The project sought to understand what effects using LA to make educational interventions has on distinct demographic groupings. The Project We began to explore and aggregate the university's demographic, biographic, and VLE usage data. Our Data Scientists were there to guide and inform the data exploration process. Through applying LA, machine learning technology, and data science techniques, we were able to identify cohorts of students and observe which demographic groups had low engagement, low attainment, or had high drop-out rates. The importance of this part of the project was that we were able to use engagement with VLE as marker for students at risk of dropping out of university. By using LA programmes, Elastacloud provided the university's project team with key information and insight into VLE usage and student digital behaviour trends. In addition, a baseline of engagement with the VLE was determined so that when interventions were made, they could be analysed for their effectiveness. The objective was to increase student and staff involvement with VLE and deliver student behaviour measurement capabilities for the university. The Outcomes The project found that there is a relationship between a student’s engagement with the Virtual Learning Environment (VLE) and their likelihood of dropping out. As a result, the university now has actionable insights into their previously untapped data, allowing them to work towards reducing drop-out rates amongst all demographics of students. Additionally, on our journey to answering the key questions posed by this project's aims, we were able to create new opportunities with machine learning analytic tools. The university aims to deploy and monitor these tools for student and employer use, ensuring engagement goals are met and feedback capabilities are encouraged. These include self-auditing staff programmes and student skills reflection areas which enable them to find help and access personalised feedback to improve their digital capabilities. The adoption of these machine learning tools has given the university the means and understanding to identify students requiring extra support and make interventions accordingly thus deterring them from dropping out. The university was impressed by what we were able to achieve together and how quickly we were able to achieve it. As such they continue to consult Elastacloud on large scale data projects as we help to answer some of the sector's most pressing questions.

Since February, Elastacloud have been involved with the EcoProMIS (Ecological Productivity Management Information System) Project. Context This project, supported by UK Space Agency ’s International Partnership Programme (IPP) and Caribou Digital , is led by the public-private partnership of Rothamsted Research and Agricompas Limited. Rothamsted Research is a world-leading, non-profit research centre that focuses on strategic agricultural science to the benefit of farmers and society worldwide. Agricompas Limited is an agricultural data analytics company that provides knowledge and decision support to improve the technical, environmental and economical efficiency of crop value chain processes worldwide. Elastacloud and other project partners ( Pixalytics in the UK, as well as CIAT , Cenipalma , Fedearroz and Solidaridad in Colombia) are all working in collaboration on the project. This 38-month project is supported by a grant of £3.9M from the UK Space Agency’s second call of its International Partnership Programme. The UK Space Agency’s International Partnership Programme IPP is a £152 million pound multi-year programme funded by the Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) launched in 2015. It uses UK organisations’ space knowledge, expertise and capability to provide a sustainable, economic or societal benefit to undeveloped nations and developing economies. The main goal of the project is “to improve the rice and oil palm production systems in Colombia by creating and providing better knowledge and decision support services to its stakeholders.” The Government Case Study on the project says: Colombian smallholder rice and oil palm farmers need to improve productivity and stabilise incomes to allow them to compete globally and improve their livelihoods, whilst responding to climate change and realising a positive environmental impact. The project will engage with smallholder farmers through outreach programmes to collect data and provide training, so that their skills and understanding on how crop management affects productivity, income and sustainable ecosystems is developed. Smartphones are used to communicate data and knowledge directly from and to farmers in the field. Elastacloud’s Contribution The final product will be a decision support system-based tool. This tool will combine crop production knowledge per field with economic, environmental and social information to help growers in their daily decisions about crop management. To do that, an enormous volume of data needs to be processed from several different sources and brought together into a secure and user-oriented platform. The main data to be collected for the decision support system principally comes from weather stations, drones, flux towers, agronomic records, yield maps, and other agronomic systems and data sources. All this data has complex and varied source content and format structures, so the challenge is to bring it all together in the same system to allow us to work with and manage the data flow, for real time data acquisition from different sources. We then select the variety of crop models to be executed automatically in the Microsoft Azure Cloud. The Results Elastacloud’s contribution to this project will help to ensure that small independent growers stay in their localities, can grow and scale up their business models and are able to produce sustainable crops for the market. It’s a model that can be translated to other small independent growers and sectors across the agricultural landscape. By promoting the role and value of small growers in the sector we ensure diversity in the agricultural landscape for consumers and the industry. The project also adds to environmental sustainability, development of local ecosystems and sustained employability amongst local communities. Elastacloud are very excited by our continuing involvement with the EcoProMIS project and cannot wait to share further developments on our contributions in the future. Further Information: The EcoProMIS Website UK Government Case Study on the project Caribou Digital ‘Space for Dervelopment’ website Video introducing the project (Spanish) Video by Nuba Aerospace on the use of satellite imaging on the project Words: Sebastián Márquez Barraso, Manuel Martín-González, and Annajoy David.